Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 12.228093 13.738773 15.376819 17.287099 19.456465 21.846662 24.684084
2025-03-23 10.045794 12.062472 14.410354 17.354323 20.959114 25.244511 30.747861
2025-03-30 8.250148 10.501286 13.291781 17.024409 21.915748 28.147152 36.750742
2025-04-06 6.758764 9.065360 12.090987 16.383573 22.370679 30.503815 42.522900
2025-04-13 5.671409 7.979123 11.167251 15.943464 23.004038 33.192659 49.254533
2025-04-20 5.015941 7.381585 10.813870 16.229800 24.696306 37.650376 59.405732
2025-04-27 4.503439 6.910382 10.566011 16.623050 26.607088 42.762237 71.602129
2025-05-04 4.022463 6.413763 10.201871 16.769339 28.144337 47.546155 84.252086
2025-05-11 3.523111 5.815241 9.587256 16.402316 28.754432 50.873433 95.045124
2025-05-18 3.117294 5.314018 9.060167 16.096536 29.410117 54.382955 106.914898
2025-05-25 2.781541 4.886905 8.599358 15.832868 30.089931 58.044996 119.870299
2025-06-01 2.512592 4.542382 8.237129 15.692821 30.975843 62.255118 134.891024
2025-06-08 2.273806 4.229260 7.903347 15.582563 31.959304 66.967459 152.421677
2025-06-15 2.132857 4.083147 7.867606 16.066981 34.279466 75.004662 179.724538
2025-06-22 1.956955 3.846041 7.621242 16.074910 35.571064 81.027825 203.747839
2025-06-29 1.765439 3.553454 7.223853 15.695039 35.919182 84.934385 223.410541
2025-07-06 1.608371 3.312553 6.902643 15.434886 36.502934 89.536551 246.230646
2025-07-13 1.522098 3.211296 6.868016 15.831740 38.770986 98.898705 285.315313
2025-07-20 1.449011 3.129590 6.865544 16.305499 41.329499 109.603423 331.693325
2025-07-27 1.363959 3.010652 6.762807 16.516210 43.240340 118.963573 376.797389
2025-08-03 1.253868 2.821331 6.471924 16.203477 43.666907 124.172381 409.839388
2025-08-10 1.157785 2.653965 6.213151 15.936393 44.179123 129.772994 446.125802
2025-08-17 1.072923 2.503981 5.978828 15.700516 44.744773 135.690139 485.609102